Who doesn't go to State update and How I Voted

Last week I updated you on which 3 teams in the OSAA's 'South Region' won't make the state playoffs.  According to the OSAA, the three teams with the lowest RPI among the MWL, MWC and IMC won't make the playoffs.  No more than two teams from any league can be eliminated.  Here's the update after last weeks games.

• Eagle Point 477
• Dallas 429
• South Albany 414
• Marshfield 412
• North Eugene 402

- Eagle Point is safe from elimination because their RPI shouldn't fall after playing Ashland.  

- Marshfield could leapfrog over Dallas this week, even if Marshfield loses to Marist.  Marshfield's RPI should jump to around 440.  A Dallas win this Friday should put Dallas around 430.  If Dallas wins out (beating 0-7 South Albany and 3-4 Woodburn, they will probably be in the 440 range along with Marshfield.  I don't think the Pirates will know their playoff status until all scores are in on October 28.

- A win for North would boost their RPI to around 417.  If winless South Albany keeps losing, the SA Bulldogs should fall to close to or under 400. Dallas could fall to around 415 or even less if they lost to 0-7 South Albany.  But even if North passes South Albany and Dallas, the Highlanders likely will end up behind Marshfield and thus, one of the last three teams in the RPI column for the South Region..

The team with the highest RPI among the group of Dallas, South Albany, Marshfield, North Eugene gets to play Sherwood, Marist or Bend.  Marist's RPI should fall to around 650 this week, while Sherwood's RPI will fall towards the 650 mark after their next two opponents.  Bend's RPI is likely to go up this week.  Here's a devilish thought.  Sherwood plays a team on October 28 that will hurt the Bowman's RPI.  Bend and Marist have bye's.  If Bend and Marist schedule each other, they might both pass Sherwood.  I'll do the math next week.

How I voted in the OregonLive Poll  

My vote followed by the actual poll results.

1-1.  Sherwood

2-2.  Marist

3-5   Bend

4-4   Lebanon

5-3   Mt View

6-6   Corvallis

7-9   Wilsonville

8-10 West Albany

9- 7  Silverton

10- 8 Ashland 

This weekend

• # 3 Mt View is at # 5 Bend
• # 4 Lebanon is at #6 Corvallis
• # 7 Silverton is at #10 West Albany

Oct 28

• Lebanon travels to # 7 Silverton
• # 6 Corvallis is at #10 West Albany

OregonLive.com polls 5A 6A