I'll start football coverage in earnest starting next Tuesday, the 16th. But the first OregonLive polls have been posted and I thought I'd let you know how I voted and issue my annual 'Way to Early MWL football Prediction'. I also have some comments on Marshfield considering a request to move to 4A.
OregonLive Preseason Poll
Preseason polls are mostly an exercise in futility. Voters, including me, aren't sure who has transferred in or out of schools. And how many voters are really tracking how many seniors graduated throughout the state and how good a school's JV team was? Not me, I can barely keep up with the MWL. Here's how I voted with the OregonLive poll rank in parenthesis.
1. Sherwood (2) The Bowmen lost Long to Lake Oswego, but so what?
2. Mt. View (4)
3. Marist (1) Yes, the Spartan receivers return, but......
4. Corvallis (3)
5. Crsnt Valley (6)
6. Lebanon (8) A periodic MWL team throughout history, so they must be good.
7. Wilsonville (7)
8. Liberty (10)
9. Jefferson (5) Jeff is usually good for at least a q-final game. I'll probably move them up in my next vote.
10. Eagle Pt. (12) It's gonna be Snowing in the South
At the 6A level, I voted Aloha #1, Sheldon #4 and Roseburg #7.
My Way Too Early MWL Prediction - August 8th
1.
Marist. Not as easy of a route to the title as last year. A team doesn't lose Silver, Mayes, Deveraux, Swindling, Beattie and more without going down a notch. But the entire speedy, tough, sure handed receiving corp returns. Austin Baird was second in league receiving yards last year, Taylor Walcott was fourth and Josh Paiment was good for 29.6 yards per catch after coming back from an injury while playing QB. Whoever ends up at QB just needs to put the ball out there for the receivers to catch. Not to be overlooked will be the return of running back Greg Park, at 89 yards per game - 4th in league last year.. That gives the Spartans great flexibility on O. If the lineman develop quickly, look out MWL! A lot of talk about ex-Wolverine Kamerun Smith at QB. My stepson, Alex Brink, came home from a camp he was working this summer and asked me if 'Smith' was the name of the Willamette QB I had been touting. Alex liked what he saw. Here are my thoughts - Smith throws a sweet ball, but expect to see a lot of speed rushers attack from the outside to test Smith's running ability. Smith is tall enough to dink the ball to an outlet back in a jam, so he might not have to run, but I sure wouldn't let Smith stand back and throw all day.
2.
Eagle Point. I liked the fight the Eagles showed in their game at Churchill last year. The Eagles came out and looked like they were going to destroy Air Lancer, going up 14-0 in the first Q. But Churchill tied it by halftime. The Lancers were up 21-20 after three. Eagle Point said enough of this fancy-pants passing game and played Snowball, by rumbling Garrett Snow the fourth quarter for a 39-21 win. Eagle Point then easily handled Willamette the next week, but had a Jekyll & Hyde season after that. I like the fact they DL/T Tryone Homes is back. He was 6-4, 240 last year. The Eagles can fill four other positions with all-stars besides Snow and Holmes. Zach Reed and Devon Adams return in the secondary along with Daniel Morgan (6' ", 200 lb LB last year). Adams doubled as a very good receiver. Bryan Strong returns as an all league O lineman. In case you've forgotten - Snow isn't just a running back, he also caught 18 passes in league last year.
3.
Air Lancer. Running Back Aaron Ingram (6th in league rushing yardage last year) alone should be enough for me to rank Churchill number two. But the Lancer's lost their top three receivers and their quarterback, so Air Lancer will struggle. Hah! I've seen Churchill lose a ton of talent before. Before you know it, the other team's heads are spinning. Junior receiver Andrew Bennion will likely be one of the Lancer's who keep the Air Lancer tradition going. Jake Dezarn returns as an all league DB. I'm sure the Lancers will put his hands to use somewhere as he is an excellent baseball player. Juniors to be all leaguers DL Gavin Cowles (6' 2", 200 last year) and center Jermeny Crutchfield (5-10, 170 in 2010) return. By the way, RB Ingram is much like Eagle Point's Snow in that Ingram also catches the ball out of the backfield a lot.
4.
Ashland. Ashland tore up Japan in the Pacific Rim Bowl earlier this month. Looks like the Grizzlies found a good QB in soph Daniel White. He has good receivers in Sam Geisslinger, Franklin Limema, Taylor Humphrey and Quaid Walters. One Volz graduated at running back. This year it looks like junior Jon Volz will get more carries. The Grizzlies lost Jake McCoy in a trade for another player to be named later - or maybe never.
The top four teams are from the top of the MWL alphabet - A, C. EP M - , therefore the bottom four must be from the bottom of the MWL alphabet - M, NE, S, W.
5.
Willamette. I"m going with the Wolverines over Springfield for 5th. Every team in the league lost their starting quarterback. I think it's easier to build on a good returning running game and Willamette has some good backs returning. Jordan Visarraga, Dante Giles and Bryce York all got a decent amount of carries behind Skyler Moore. Visarraga had occasional glimpses of brilliance, which he'll need to turn into a regularity if the Wolverines are to succeed. The receiving corp should be quite capable with 6' 1 ' Zach Hatefi and 6' 4 '" Mitch Crownover returning. Keep an eye on two-way all leaguer (LB, OT) junior to be Tyler Johnson.
6.
Springfield. The Millers can build their O line around 1st team guard Clanton Self (6' 0", 260) and all league center Isias Giron (5' 8", 210). Junior Jon Emerald was an all league DB and will likely be on the receiving end of passes along with returning receivers Alister Jorkan and Dylan Pullen. (I threw away the Springfield-Marshfield game roster last year as Springfield was shellacking my Pirates 50-6. With the roster went my list of underclassmen who were getting significant playing time for the Millers.)
7.
Marshfield. Marshfield returns just one all league player, but he's a big one. Receiver Dalton Milburn was listed at 6' 6" and 260 last year. Running back chores will likely be filled by Ty Cutting. Marshfield had three huge sophomore linemen on the roster last year. If these guys get in shape, look out. But the tendency the last few years has been to go with whoever is in shape, and a lot of small linemen have pushed the big boys out of the way.
8.
North Eugene. Welcome back head coach Edmund Rivera. I'll keep expectations low so you can exceed them. The Highlanders need to get baseball pitcher Andrew Moore to pull a Blake Stepp and play quarterback his senior year. Not likely, as Moore is committed to gnaw on trees 45 miles to the north, and play some baseball there, too. Rivera will start with a couple of good returning offensive weapons. Running back Travis Brumwill was good for over 5 yards per carry while watching Alex Wilson get most of the workload. Receiver Ryan Koth was 10th in league in yardage.
That's it for the 'way too early' poll. I hope to visit some practices of several schools before the first games Sept 2. I had fun visiting the teams last year and got a good feel for the spirit of the teams. I'll post another MWL poll update right before the September 2 games.
Please email me with any corrections or comments at
mwlnow@yahoo.com
Web Site Restructuring
I'm adding some sports - Soccer and Volleyball. I added Softball in the spring and the kids and parents seemed to love it, even though it was pretty bare bones. The fall additions have caused me to change the 'templates' throughout the entire website. You may notice some odd looking menus at the top of the pages as I work through the various sports. I think football is in okay shape. Also, I added an At-A-Glance feature where you can see all MWL schedules and scores on one page - hover over 'Football Home' and you should see
'At-A-Glance' in the dropdown list. The 'At-A-Glance' page is a bit boring, but you can see it's an easy way to check your opponents schedules and results without bouncing back and forth to other web pages.
If you know any soccer or volleyball fans, please let them know about the pages. I'd like to find parents for each sport to blog for the three sports. (
Boys soccer,
Girls Soccer and
Volleyball) Parents also might want to send photos or match recaps for me to post, much like happened in softball.
Also, there is a MWL page with news about the teams and OSAA, as well as a section of news about current and former MWL players. I think you'll find it interesting. If you ever have any info to share, email me at
mwlnow@yahoo.com
Marshfield Going 4A in 2012?
If you subscribe to the MWL twitter feed, you saw the article on Marshfield considering appealing to the OSAA to move to the 4A classification in 2012.
As a Pirate alum and someone who was working at Marshfield High School just a few years ago - I moved back to Eugene in 2008 - here are my thoughts:
It hurts to see the Pirates even think about moving down. I would have hoped my once powerhouse home town high school would try to stay in 5A as their enrollment likely falls to 800 this fall. The 5A cutoff is 570. Madison (797) and Jefferson (465) play at the 5A level even though they fall in the 4A classification. Marist (489), of course, is 5A.
But things are quite different in Coos Bay and I think they tip the balance towards 4A - even if it just for a couple of years. (Marshfield apparently has two very small classes going through the system, but may jump back up in enrollment in 2014 when larger size classes are expected to enter high school.) The key difference is that the two Portland schools and Marist play in geographical areas that have a lot of other 5A schools. Marshfield, on the other hand, has to do a lot of travelling. Travelling wasn't so bad in the 'old days', as there were no girls sports (so the girls didn't lose study time and get home at midnight or later) and we boys played basketball games on Friday and Saturday nights - no weekday games. In the modern era, it goes like this: I remember a bus ride back and forth between Coos Bay and Eugene in 2004 as a JV baseball coach. We shared the bus with the varsity softball team. Most of the girls studied non stop on the way back while I tried to convince the boys to bring their schoolbooks next time. The girls even had flashlights to help read their books on a trip that got back to Coos Bay at 10:30 PM. Point being, a bus isn't a good place to study.
The other issue besides study time is costs. Marshfield is going to a four day school week, moving the 8th graders to the high school campus and shutting down a beloved elementary school. It just doesn't make sense to be spending money on travel for sports when so much money is being squeezed out of the system on the academic side.
Will student population turn around? Not likely. There are no jobs on the coast. Government policies nationally and in our state moves people to more efficient urban settings. As the population shifts, rural areas lose their voting and politcal clout. No improved transportion routes from I-5, no new large federal buildings, no state or veterans hospitals, no Navy NOAA relocation, no state aquarium. Coos County's population has declined 2 percent since 1980, while Lane county has grown 27%, and Deschutes county 154%! An interesting observation is that combining Marshfield's and North Bend's student bodies would only make them middle of the pack in 5A, student body wise. And speaking of Marshfield and North Bend high schools in the same sentence - they should consolidate so they can have better class offerings. My dad just turned over in his grave. I can't believe I wrote that.
Final Farewell to Bob Line, Springfield Miller, adminstrator and coach.
I had the pleasure of meeting Bob Line in 2003 when I moved to Coos Bay where he was principal at Marshfield High School. I got to know him well and seemed to bump into him quite often after I moved back to Eugene. He was an extremely positive person with his only flaw being a member of Springfield's 1967 football team that knocked Marshfeild (my senior year) out of the state playoffs even though the two teams finished 8-1 in regular season. Bob was tabbed to be the head football coach at Waldport this fall. Sadly, he passed away this June. He will be missed.
Article - Waldport will miss Bob Line
Here's that league news page link. If you have any player, alum, team or coach news to share email me at
mwlnow@yahoo.com MWL League News